はじめての日経225先物

この記事は約3分で読めます。

日経225先物というと、何か危なっかしい感じで、
初心者の方には少しハードルが高そうに思われるかもしれません。

確かにネット検索すると詳細に解説されていますが、
かえって頭が混乱しかねないと逆に思います。

そこで、細かいところはさておいて、
取引する上で最低限知っておかなければならない
ルールに絞って解説したいと思います。

つまり、これさえわかればすぐに日経先物売買スタートさせられる
という内容でご案内いたします。

単純に将来の日経平均が上がるか下がるかに賭ける取引です。

まずミニとラージの2種類あり、個人投資家の多くはミニを活用しています。

言葉の通り、ラージはミニの10倍のサイズで、必要な資金も10倍となるため、元手資金・必要証拠金が潤沢にある人専用(プロ仕様)なのです。

なので、日経225ミニ先物を中心にご説明すると、

例えば、現時点の日経平均(先物価格)が2万2100円とします。
ミニでは、取引金額は価格を「100倍」するので、
実際、1枚買うと221万円の銘柄を購入したことになります。

そこで、日経平均が2万2200円と100円上昇したら・・
222万円と評価されますので、1万円の含み益となります。

つまり、ミニでは日経平均(先物価格)が
100円上がれば1万円儲かる。
100円下がれば1万円損する。

ちなみにラージはミニの10倍の評価なので、
100円上がれば10万円儲かる。
100円下がれば10万円損する。

この感覚さえわかれば、明日からでも売買できます。

あとは、もう少し付け足すだけです。

①手数料

手数料は、ミニでSBI証券ですと1枚につき35円(税込38.5円)
ラージは1枚につき250円(税込275円)

いずれにせよ、安っ!取扱金額からすると無いに等しい!
そう、日経先物の手数料額は気にするに値しないのです。

②取引時間

取引時間は日中、夜間と2場所あり、夜間ならサラリーマンの方でも参戦可能!
日中8:45-3:15
夜間16:30-5:30

③限月とSQ
限月とは購入した日経先物の締め切りの月のことです。
そう、日経先物には必ず限月(締切り月)が存在します。

そして、限月(締切り月)の第2週の金曜日の朝の寄り付きの

日経平均株価を特別清算指数SQ値として割り出し、
限月の第2金曜日(SQ日)が来ると、保有ポジションはSQ値で清算(強制決済)されます。

ですので、最初に購入する前に、いつまでに決済するのか決めた上で、
購入する必要があります。長期保有するつもりなら、限月を遠い月にします。

一般には売買ボリュームが厚い直近限月か翌限月で取引で参戦します。

④必要証拠金

必要証拠金を最初に差し入れされすれば、取引価額全額の資金を必要とせず、取引を行なうことができます。

必要証拠金は相場変動に応じて、
変動が大きくなると多くの証拠金が求められ、変動が小さいと証拠金は減ります。

直近ですと1枚当たり、ミニが8万7000円、ラージが87万円です。
なので、そもそもミニをやりたいなら、約10万円の元手資金は用意しないといけません。

元手5万円では日経先物の売買はスタートできません。

しかも、必要証拠金は常にキープしていないといけません。
評価損が発生すると追証とよばれる追加証拠金を
追加証拠金の発生日の翌営業日までに差し入れる必要があります。

上記の例で、10万円の元手資金でミニを1枚買ったとして、
日経平均(先物価格)が300円値下がりしたら、
3万円の含み損なので、証拠金は10万-3万=7万円の評価となり、
ミニの必要証拠金8万7000円満たなくなるため、
追加証拠金を1万7000円翌営業日までに差し入れないといけなくなります。

間に合わないと強制決済されて売買終了となります。

なので日経平均(先物価格)の変動を1000円見込むなら、
この場合18万7000円、おおよそ20万円は用意しておかないといけないという事です。(2000円の変動を見込むなら30万円の用意がいる。)

なので、現実的には10万円の元手資金ではなく20万円は最低用意しないと、
ミニを落ち着いて売買できないという事です。

この様に、限月とSQ、必要証拠金さえ注意すれば、
あとは普通の株と同じような感覚で取引できます。

Let’s トライ!


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株で1000万稼ぐ極秘メルマガ

勝率90%で安定して株で1000万儲ける 株デイトレの必勝法則をメルマガで垣間見てみませんか?

ご登録いただけた方に今だけ無料プレゼント!
*メールアドレス
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サブコンテンツ

バリュー曽我オリジナル株教材

私の教材はリアルタイムで株で稼ぎ続けている極秘情報を扱ったものですので、
誠に恐れ入りますが、安易に販売するつもりはございません。
ですので私の教材は、一般の方にはご購入をご遠慮頂いております。
ブログ読者様・メルマガ会員の方のみ数量限定で販売させて頂いております。

株で稼ぐ技術勝率90%で1000万稼ぎ
毎年資産倍増!
株で必勝セミナー私が今まで露出した中で
一番きわどい情報です!
世界一わかりやすい
ファンダメンタルズ授業
実利に直結する
ファンダメンタルズ!
DARK MATTER株価急騰落初動キャッチ!
種別 教材名 PDFテキスト 動画
教材 世界一わかりやすいファンダメンタルズの授業 テキスト:46P 解説動画:3時間以上
教材 株で稼ぐ技術 テキスト:50P 解説動画:2時間20分
セミナー 株で必勝セミナー    / 解説動画:1時間20分
ソフト DARK MATTER 図解マニュアル15P 動画マニュアル35分

<特徴>
初級者から上級者まで貴方様のレベルに応じて段階的に、 各種教材、セミナー・ソフトをご用意いたしました。
対象 教材名 定価 目的
初級者以上 世界一わかりやすいファンダメンタルズの授業 9800円 経済の基本から学びたい方
初級者以上 株で稼ぐ技術 1万9800円 株デイトレの基礎的な事から私の手法を学びたい方
中級者以上 株で必勝セミナー 1万9800円 極秘テクニックや株業界の裏事情を知りたい方
中級者~上級者以上 DARK MATTER 4万9800円 株価急騰落の初動をキャッチしたい方

独断と偏見の株アナリストランキング

藤戸則弘 氏

■三菱UFJモルガン・スタンレー証券ストラテジスト
状況分析が正確で一番堅いです。
後で検証すると当たっていることが多いです。

井上哲男 氏

■MCPアセット・マネジメント証券ストラテジスト
他のアナリストと異なり、ファンダメンタルズ分析が上っ面でなく、各種指標の背景を精密な数値により分析している。

早見雄二郎 氏

■株式評論家
ラジオ日経聴者ランキング1位。
トレンド分析・推奨銘柄は必聴。
私も欠かさず聞いています。

さいますみ 氏

■経済アナリスト
若いが経済全般に造詣が深い。
アグレッシブさを応援したくなる。

<経済全般>

高橋洋一郎 氏

■嘉悦大学教授
小泉・安倍政権のブレーン。
実際に政治経済を支える黒子。

中原圭介 氏

■エコノミスト
中原氏の本は、わかりやすく世界経済の現状を分析しているのでファンダメンタルズ分析には欠かせません。

飯田泰之 氏

■明治大学政治経済学部准教授
全部理詰めでわかりやすい。
最近TVでよく見る。

今、話題のピケティ論をまとめてみました。

・資本主義の下では格差は放置すれば拡大する。
・グローバル資本課税を導入すべき。

r(資本収益率)>g(経済成長率)
つまり、資産運用(株・不動産)所得 > 勤労所得

経済成長すれば、格差は縮小すると思われていたが、20世紀はたまたま戦争や恐慌などの特殊要因で経済成長率の方が資本収益率より高かっただけで、実は19世紀以前までは資本収益率の方がずっと高かった。
特に先進国ではこれからは成熟期で経済成長率は鈍化していくので、今後も資本による収益が有利になり、それどころか金融テクノロジーの進化で資本収益率は上昇していく。

なので、ピケティいわく世界各国で資産家に一律で同じ累進課税を適用すべきとのこと。金融資産から負債を引いた純資産に対して国境を越えて累進課税するというもの。つまり、富の再分配の仕組みを構築し、人為的に格差縮小の努力をすべきとのこと。

米国では高所得者トップ10%が国民所得の50%を握っている。
さらに、上位1%が19.3%も握っている。
英国ではトップ10%が40%を握っている。
実は日本もトップ10%が40%弱握っている。

<私が思わずうなずいた「幸運の対価」と呼ばれるピケティの主張>
21世紀になってから大手企業CEOはその経営手腕の対価として年間億単位で稼ぎますが、それが本当に経営能力によるものなのか、たまたま景気が良い時に時運に乗っただけなのかはわからないという見解。

<曽我の見解>
ピケティの主張に反論するわけではないですが、この話、何で今さらというのが第一印象。資産運用(株・不動産)所得 > 勤労所得の構図は、今から15年も前に出版された「金持ち父さん」の4つのクワドラントの中で、経営者・投資家 > 自営業・労働者の構図として既にはっきり示されていましたので。

お陰様で私、正直、富裕層にはなれましたが、あくまで小金持ちで、まだまだ本当に欲しいものがあれもこれも買えるレベルではないです。
個人的には、私は脱サラして親に頼ることなく、自力で投資家へ転身してここまで成り上がってきたので、これから成功の果実を味わいたいというのが本音。
10億ドル(約1000億円)以上の資産を持つ超富裕層が世界に1225人もいるそうなので、手を付けるならまずは超富裕層からお願いします。

曽我の珠玉の人生の法則

他人の人生の計画に組み込まれるか、自分で人生の計画を立て行動するかのどちらかしかない。
(by ジム・ローン)

人生の10%は何が起こるかで決まる。残りの90%はそれにどう反応するかで決まる。
(by スティーブン・R・コヴィー )

選択することはただ選ぶだけだが、恐ろしい事にその後の行動以上の重みがある。
(by バリュー曽我)

Seize the time ! Live now !
Make now always the most precious time !
Now will never come again !
(スタートレックの一節)

我々は規律を守る苦しみか後悔する苦しみの2つの内いずれか1つに苦しまなければならない。規律は軽く後悔は重い。
(by ジム・ローン)